






SMM Morning Tin Meeting Summary on June 16, 2025
Last week, the US CPI year-on-year growth rate for May, unadjusted for seasonal factors, fell below market expectations, recording 2.4%. Meanwhile, "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos stated that the decline in car and clothing prices led to the core CPI reading being lower than expected. These factors had a certain negative impact on tin prices. Domestically, the overall supply and demand in the tin ore market both fluctuated. In terms of supply, tin ore supply tightened in major producing areas such as Yunnan, prompting some smelters to consider halting production for maintenance or slightly cutting production in June, which will provide support for tin prices. Demand side, as tin prices returned to the 260,000 yuan/mt threshold, orders from most downstream enterprises decreased, and purchase willingness weakened. Spot market transactions remained sluggish, with traders reporting mostly just-in-time procurement and a small number of low-price orders. Overall, the international macro environment exerted certain pressure on tin prices, while the tightening domestic supply side and weak demand side led to tin prices maintaining a fluctuating downward trend in the short term. It is expected that tin prices will continue to face pressure next week. Investors are advised to closely monitor domestic and overseas policy changes and market demand dynamics, and operate cautiously.
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